6 resultados para multiples anomalies

em RUN (Repositório da Universidade Nova de Lisboa) - FCT (Faculdade de Cienecias e Technologia), Universidade Nova de Lisboa (UNL), Portugal


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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Master’s Double Degree in Finance and Financial Economics from NOVA – School of Business and Economics and Maastricht University

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During the last decade Mongolia’s region was characterized by a rapid increase of both severity and frequency of drought events, leading to pasture reduction. Drought monitoring and assessment plays an important role in the region’s early warning systems as a way to mitigate the negative impacts in social, economic and environmental sectors. Nowadays it is possible to access information related to the hydrologic cycle through remote sensing, which provides a continuous monitoring of variables over very large areas where the weather stations are sparse. The present thesis aimed to explore the possibility of using NDVI as a potential drought indicator by studying anomaly patterns and correlations with other two climate variables, LST and precipitation. The study covered the growing season (March to September) of a fifteen year period, between 2000 and 2014, for Bayankhongor province in southwest Mongolia. The datasets used were MODIS NDVI, LST and TRMM Precipitation, which processing and analysis was supported by QGIS software and Python programming language. Monthly anomaly correlations between NDVI-LST and NDVI-Precipitation were generated as well as temporal correlations for the growing season for known drought years (2001, 2002 and 2009). The results show that the three variables follow a seasonal pattern expected for a northern hemisphere region, with occurrence of the rainy season in the summer months. The values of both NDVI and precipitation are remarkably low while LST values are high, which is explained by the region’s climate and ecosystems. The NDVI average, generally, reached higher values with high precipitation values and low LST values. The year of 2001 was the driest year of the time-series, while 2003 was the wet year with healthier vegetation. Monthly correlations registered weak results with low significance, with exception of NDVI-LST and NDVI-Precipitation correlations for June, July and August of 2002. The temporal correlations for the growing season also revealed weak results. The overall relationship between the variables anomalies showed weak correlation results with low significance, which suggests that an accurate answer for predicting drought using the relation between NDVI, LST and Precipitation cannot be given. Additional research should take place in order to achieve more conclusive results. However the NDVI anomaly images show that NDVI is a suitable drought index for Bayankhongor province.

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La réalisation de cet entretien avec François Bayle a eu comme objectif premier d'approfondir la compréhension de sa conception du sonore. Le concept d’image de son (i-son) est évidemment l’élément central de sa pensée à propos du sonore. Nous l’avons approché en tant qu’élément présent dans l’espace et perçu par l’oreille. François Bayle nous présente le son en tant que présence porteuse de dimensions spatiales multiples. Il nous montre également que l’intentionnalité de l’écoute est un des éléments déterminants dans la perception des sons dans l’espace. Le compositeur rappelle enfin que les représentations mentales sont construites et que les images sonores de la musique sont composées.

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This project is the result of a four months internship at the “Julgado de Paz de Lisboa” between September and December of 2014. The internship was a necessary requirement for completing the Master’s degree in Law. In the first section we describe all the work developed during the internship and expose the main topic of the thesis. The second section describes the structure of the “Julgados de Paz” as well as its competences and its procedures. We also highlight the main differences between the “Julgados de Paz” and the “Tribunais Judiciais”. In the third section we describe the figure of the lawyer taking a historical perspective as well the most relevant principles for the topic of the thesis. The fourth section analyses the present legislation both at the “Julgados de Paz” as well as the “Tribunais Judiciais” it what respects mandatories of the requirement of a lawyer. In the final section we present our conclusions and our proposals for solving the existing anomalies that arise from the present regime.

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The momentum and carry anomalies have been extensively documented in the literature. However, there are still many issues relating to the risks associated to them that are left unexplained. One is the fact that an investor holds for too long the most volatile assets, both under momentum and carry strategies. Therefore, they present a level of risk and a probability of extreme events to happen inconsistent. This work project hypothesizes and proves the introduction of risk parity rules on the weights of the portfolios do increase risk rewarding of carry strategies. However, it fails under momentum strategies.

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The present research analyses overnight returns’ outperformance in relation to daytime returns. In a first stage, it will be assessed whether these returns are robust throughout time, markets and across different scopes of analysis (e.g. weekdays, months, states of the economy). In a second stage, several hypothesis will be empirically tested, in an attempt to understand what drives non-trading period returns (e.g. liquidity, market volatility). Even though several authors have analysed overnight returns and suggested several explanatory factors, there seems to be no consensus in the literature regarding its drivers.